In two of his last three starts Folty has allowed nine hits and six runs. That’s 18 hits and 12 runs in 10.1 IP. In between he allowed two earned in 5-2/3 IP vs. the Fish but walked four and pitched in and out of trouble all night.
In other words, he’s gotten progressively worse this season. Unless he turns it around down the stretch he should be guaranteed nothing next year.
Jake Arrieta, on the other hand, has a 1.56 ERA in the second half with 40 K’s in 40-1/3 IP. He is the ace of the Cubs staff, not Jon Lester.
It should be noted that Arrieta came to Chicago with a career 5.46 ERA in four years with Baltimore. So it’s way too early to give up on Folty.
Still, I’d put the odds of the Braves winning this one at .001 percent. But youneverknow.