PED defenders refuse to acknowledge the obvious

Dan Szymborski of FanGraphs wrote this today:

After all, we keep getting data and still, as a group, players that have been caught using PEDs have not outperformed their projections as a group in any time frame before being caught nor underperformed as a group in any time frame after being caught.

That may be true, when you factor in all the middling players caught using PED’s. But who projected 38 HR for a 38-year-old Rafael Palmiero, or 65 for oft-injured Mark McGwire, then 35? Did anyone really expect 50 HR from 32-year-old Brady Anderson (previous high, 21) or 73 HR from 36-year-old Barry Bonds? Keep in mind that the PED defenders almost always pigeonhole players over 30 as past their prime.

Unless projected in the Steroid Era, these numbers are anything but “projectible.”

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s