Is Jonny Venters merely a victim of ‘poor luck’?
I see the value of statistical analysis, even though I choose not to understand much of it.
Take, for example, xFIP, which, according to Capitol Avenue Club, shows that Venters “has not changed much at all as a pitcher, but this year he is just receiving all of the poor luck that he didn’t receive in the two season’s previous.”
No offense to CAC — which obviously puts a lot of work into their analysis and has a much larger audience than this blog — but I put zero credence in xFIP if it suggests JV is merely a victim of bad luck.
Batters are hitting .327 against Venters this year as opposed to .176 in 2011. Are we to believe much of that is due to circumstance? Opponents have a slugging percentage of .505 against him in 2012, more than double last year’s figure.
JV has been horrible, not unlucky. And you don’t need a stat to see that.